A-Rod moves one step closer to 600; Yankees down Royals

Baseball Betting Lines

07/22/2010 - Bronx, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Alex Rodriguez hit home run No. 599 and drove in four runs total, and the Yankees defeated the Royals, 10-4, in the start to a four-game series at Yankee Stadium.

Rodriguez hit his 16th homer of the season and second in four games for the Yankees, who have won 12 of 15 overall. Derek Jeter added his second career inside-the-park home run, while Nick Swisher hit a two-run double in the win.

CC Sabathia (13-3) won for the ninth time in 10 starts after laboring through 6 1/3 frames, giving up four runs (three earned) on 11 hits and four walks while fanning nine.

Willie Bloomquist registered three hits, while Wilson Betemit and Scott Podsednik each had two hits and an RBI for the Royals, who have lost eight of 10. Mike Aviles had two hits and scored a run, and Billy Butler recorded two hits in defeat.

Bruce Chen (5-4) yielded five runs on nine hits and two walks in six frames to take the loss.

After a questionable call cost the Royals a run in the top of the fifth, the Yankees went ahead for good in the home half.

Robinson Cano singled with one away and raced all the way around to score on Jorge Posada's double. Posada scampered to third on a wild pitch to Marcus Thames, who then lofted a sacrifice fly to left for a 5-3 advantage.

A wacky play allowed the Royals to creep to within one in the sixth. With a runner on third and one out, Yuniesky Betancourt swung over a pitch in the dirt. Because of the dropped third strike, Betancourt took off for first. Posada inexplicably fired it toward third in an attempt to retire that runner, but his throw sailed into left field, allowing a run to score and Betancourt to advance to second.

Rodriguez, though, restored the Yankees' two-run lead with a one-out blast to right off Robinson Tejeda in the seventh inning.

The Royals loaded the bases with two outs in the eighth off Joba Chamberlain, but Jose Guillen grounded into a fielder's choice to end the inning.

Swisher gave New York some insurance in the home half with a two-run double, which was followed by Mark Teixeira's RBI single for a 9-4 lead. The base hit gave Rodriguez an opportunity to hit his 600th career home run, but he settled for an RBI double that increased the Yanks' lead to six.

A one-out single by Jason Kendall and a two-out base hit by Butler in the opening inning put runners on the corners for Guillen, whose double to left plated a run.

Betemit followed with a single to left, scoring Butler easily. Betemit attempted to stretch the play into a double, but was thrown out at second just ahead of Guillen scoring. Guillen, who was not running particularly hard, had his potential run wiped off the scoreboard.

The Yankees came right back to tie the game on Rodriguez's two-run ground-rule double, but the Royals re-took the lead in the second on Podsednik's run- scoring single.

Jeter opened up the home third with his inside-the-park shot, which was nearly caught by Royals outfielder David DeJesus. DeJesus had the ball in his glove until his wrist slammed into the wall at nearly a 90-degree angle, causing him to drop the ball and crumple down in pain. He left the game after Jeter circled the bases easily, tying the score at three.

The Royals appeared to take the lead in the fifth on a Betemit single, where Butler tried to score from second. Posada appeared to miss tagging Butler at the plate by a wide margin, but home plate umpire Eric Cooper called Butler out to end the inning and keep the game tied.

Game Notes

DeJesus sprained his thumb and will miss the remainder of the series. X-rays were negative...Jeter's other inside-the-park homer came against the Royals on August 2, 1996 -- his rookie season. He is the oldest Yankee (36 years, 26 days) to accomplish the feat since Earle Combs (36 years, 45 days) did it on June 29, 1935...Rodriguez's 499th career home run also came against Kansas City...Teixeira, who had three hits, an RBI and scored twice, reached base for the 38th straight game...The Yankees are 25-24 when allowing the first run of the game...New York added a blank armband to its uniform for the late Ralph Houk...The Yankees honored late owner George Steinbrenner by placing a large mural in the outfield.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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