Clippers rally to down Portland

Basketball Betting Lines

02/17/2012 - Portland, OR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Blake Griffin scored 21 points and pulled down 14 rebounds, as the Los Angeles Clippers outlasted Portland, 74-71.

Mo Williams added 17 points and six boards off the bench, while Chris Paul chipped in with 13 points and six rebounds for the Clippers, who have won four of five.

Nicolas Batum and Jamal Crawford led Portland with 19 points apiece, while Wesley Matthews posted 16 points. Raymond Felton didn't score in just over 24 minutes, finishing 0-for-7 from the floor for Portland, which has lost three of four and squandered an 18-point lead in the third quarter.

Portland raced out to an early lead, scoring eight of the final 10 points to take a 27-20 advantage into the second quarter. Crawford's trey with 5.9 ticks to go capped the scoring in the first stanza.

The Trail Blazers then rattled off the first eight points in the second quarter, claiming a 35-22 advantage on Thomas' mid-range jumper. The lead got as high as 15 points and stood at 43-32 after 24 minutes of game action.

Just like the second period, Portland jumped out strong to increase its lead in the third quarter. Matthews' three and Gerald Wallace's layup completed a quick 7-0 burst for a 50-32 edge. The Clippers responded with the next eight, but couldn't get closer than the 60-52 margin they faced entering the fourth quarter.

It didn't take long for the Clippers to make things interesting, drawing within 66-64 on Paul's layup with just over five minutes to go and taking the lead just over a minute later on Williams' trey. Paul followed with a three- pointer to cap an 8-0 burst, and the margin grew to 72-67 with 1:05 to play on a Paul pull-up jumper.

Matthews kept Portland in the game with a tough trey, but Williams calmly sank two free throws for a 74-70 game with 18.7 seconds remaining and the Clippers hung on from there.

Game Notes

The Clippers made just 38.5 percent of their shots, but Portland wasn't any better, making 38 percent of its shots and scoring just 28 points in the second half...The Clippers had lost six of their last seven contests with Portland before Thursday's win.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.